Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 48.4% vs Hertl 56.8% (-9.4%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 76.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 73.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Kuraly
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (445)
57.0% (718)
-7.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
64.9% (188)
+35.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
44.2% (77)
-2.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Kuraly shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Hertl
Home
49.2% (248)
59.2% (463)
Away
47.3% (317)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Kuraly
Hertl
P1
48.3%
56.3%
P2
44.7%
55.4%
P3
51.7%
60.5%
Final 5 min
41.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%