Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.5% vs Zegras 41.5% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 63.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 95.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 75.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Kuraly
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kuraly
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (982)
39.4% (510)
+12.9%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
47.1% (34)
-5.2%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Kuraly shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Zegras
Home
50.3% (680)
42.3% (272)
Away
48.5% (590)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Kuraly
Zegras
P1
49.5%
37.6%
P2
49.6%
41.5%
P3
49.0%
40.8%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |