Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.7% vs Zegras 42.6% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 90.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 77.1%
Neutral zone
Zegras 59.7%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Kuraly
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kuraly
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Kuraly
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (901)
41.1% (559)
+8.1%
Power Play
68.2% (22)
50.0% (12)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (219)
50.0% (2)
-0.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Kuraly shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Zegras
Home
51.7% (603)
45.7% (247)
Away
47.3% (539)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Kuraly
Zegras
P1
50.9%
45.5%
P2
49.5%
36.8%
P3
49.1%
41.1%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |