Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 48.4% vs Zegras 43.3% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 85.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 80.8%
Neutral zone
Zegras 63.1%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 85.3%
14.7%
85.3%
Kuraly
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kuraly
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Kuraly
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (445)
39.8% (128)
+9.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
22.2% (9)
+77.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
0.0% (1)
+41.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +77.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Kuraly shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Zegras
Home
49.2% (248)
29.7% (74)
Away
47.3% (317)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Kuraly
Zegras
P1
48.3%
40.7%
P2
44.7%
35.1%
P3
51.7%
41.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |