Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.3% vs Zegras 39.2% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 58.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 98.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 94.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
Kuraly
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Kuraly
Zegras
Last 8: Kuraly 6-2 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Kuraly
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Kuraly
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
6
0
Kuraly
Zegras
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (5,141)
38.6% (1,669)
+12.9%
Power Play
56.0% (100)
38.5% (148)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,086)
28.6% (7)
+15.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Kuraly shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Zegras
Home
51.9% (3,187)
39.9% (882)
Away
48.7% (3,141)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Kuraly
Zegras
P1
51.1%
40.2%
P2
49.9%
38.0%
P3
50.0%
37.7%
OT
52.3%
31.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 15:57 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |