Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 52.7% vs Monahan 49.1% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 69.4%
Defensive zone
Monahan 51.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 59.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Horvat
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
14
(22 meetings)
8
14
Horvat
Monahan
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
9
Horvat
Monahan
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
2
Horvat
Monahan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Horvat
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (955)
46.4% (532)
+4.3%
Power Play
65.3% (213)
59.1% (132)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
50.0% (30)
-6.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Horvat is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Horvat shoots left. Monahan is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Home / Away
Horvat
Monahan
Home
54.1% (599)
49.0% (355)
Away
51.8% (626)
49.0% (339)
By Period
Horvat
Monahan
P1
50.8%
49.8%
P2
50.0%
46.6%
P3
57.7%
50.9%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
52.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 13:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |