Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schenn wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 47.5% vs Monahan 51.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 80.3%
Defensive zone
Monahan 67.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 83.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Schenn
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Schenn
Monahan
Last 8: Schenn 6-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
1
Schenn
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (469)
50.2% (1,117)
-3.7%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
55.5% (283)
+0.5%
On even strength, Monahan has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Schenn is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Schenn shoots left. Monahan is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Home / Away
Schenn
Monahan
Home
49.6% (236)
50.1% (731)
Away
44.6% (258)
52.9% (713)
By Period
Schenn
Monahan
P1
48.0%
51.3%
P2
48.1%
50.3%
P3
42.2%
53.1%
OT
81.8%
45.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 17:59 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 17:42 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |