Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schenn wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 47.8% vs Monahan 51.0% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 61.5%
Defensive zone
Schenn 72.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 67.9%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Schenn
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Schenn
Monahan
Last 6: Schenn 1-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Schenn
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Schenn
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (609)
50.8% (723)
-4.2%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
53.3% (152)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
46.2% (13)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Schenn is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Schenn shoots left. Monahan is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Schenn
Monahan
Home
45.7% (361)
52.5% (421)
Away
49.5% (319)
49.9% (467)
By Period
Schenn
Monahan
P1
54.6%
51.4%
P2
41.0%
52.3%
P3
46.8%
50.2%
OT
75.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 11:43 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 19:53 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |