Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 43.7% vs Monahan 46.3% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 59.7%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 54.6%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 57.0%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Last 6: Jarnkrok 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Jarnkrok
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
38.4% (138)
45.9% (908)
-7.5%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
49.1% (108)
+6.5%
On even strength, Monahan has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Jarnkrok is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (117).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Monahan is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Monahan
Home
45.0% (60)
48.7% (528)
Away
35.6% (87)
43.1% (508)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Monahan
P1
37.8%
50.1%
P2
41.5%
44.7%
P3
38.9%
42.7%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
39.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2014 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 2 | 04:10 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |