Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.9% vs Monahan 49.3% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 60.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 67.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 66.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Coyle
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Coyle
Monahan
Last 8: Coyle 2-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Coyle
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Coyle
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (663)
49.0% (1,435)
-2.4%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
50.2% (281)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
90.0% (10)
50.9% (114)
+39.1%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +39.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Coyle shoots right. Monahan is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (746).
Home / Away
Coyle
Monahan
Home
50.4% (367)
51.2% (936)
Away
42.5% (351)
47.3% (894)
By Period
Coyle
Monahan
P1
46.8%
48.8%
P2
47.9%
48.9%
P3
45.9%
50.2%
OT
14.3%
48.5%
Final 5 min
46.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |