Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Coyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 47.1% vs Monahan 52.4% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 69.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 81.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 74.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Coyle
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Coyle
Monahan
Last 8: Coyle 2-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Coyle
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Coyle
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (562)
52.1% (858)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.7% (69)
55.9% (177)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (68)
33.3% (9)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Coyle shoots right. Monahan is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Coyle
Monahan
Home
44.3% (332)
52.6% (504)
Away
48.8% (367)
52.6% (540)
By Period
Coyle
Monahan
P1
47.5%
56.7%
P2
47.5%
52.1%
P3
45.7%
48.1%
OT
35.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |