Connor McMichael vs Sean Monahan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). McMichael wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Monahan 51.3% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 94.7%
Defensive zone
McMichael 88.2%
Neutral zone
McMichael 93.2%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 93.1%
93.1%
6.9%
McMichael
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
20
(28 meetings)
8
20
McMichael
Monahan
Last 10: McMichael 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
11
McMichael
Monahan
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
McMichael
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
5
McMichael
Monahan
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
51.1% (11,356)
-8.0%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
53.7% (2,580)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
46.0% (766)
-7.7%
On even strength, Monahan has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. McMichael is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
McMichael shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
McMichael
Monahan
Home
42.6% (976)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
43.3% (904)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
McMichael
Monahan
P1
43.3%
50.9%
P2
43.2%
51.7%
P3
41.9%
51.0%
OT
75.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
42.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |