Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Duchene wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 61.5% vs Monahan 51.4% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 84.9%
Defensive zone
Monahan 62.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 78.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 80.0%
20.0%
80.0%
Duchene
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Duchene
Monahan
Last 10: Duchene 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
6
Duchene
Monahan
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Duchene
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Duchene
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
62.2% (802)
50.2% (1,117)
+12.0%
Power Play
67.3% (153)
55.5% (283)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
59.4% (143)
56.8% (44)
+2.6%
On even strength, Duchene has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Duchene is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Duchene shoots left. Monahan is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Home / Away
Duchene
Monahan
Home
66.5% (555)
50.1% (731)
Away
58.6% (543)
52.9% (713)
By Period
Duchene
Monahan
P1
63.2%
51.3%
P2
59.6%
50.3%
P3
65.0%
53.1%
OT
71.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
65.9%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
62.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2017 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 1 | 11:26 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 1 | 05:10 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 1 | 10:13 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |