Nico Sturm vs Sean Monahan

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nico Sturm holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Sturm 56.1% vs Monahan 51.3% (+5.0%)
H2H factor Monahan leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone Monahan 83.9%
Defensive zone Sturm 60.7%
Neutral zone Monahan 62.8%
Result Sean Monahan favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Sturm Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 14 (22 meetings)
8
14
Sturm Monahan
Last 10: Sturm 2-8 Monahan

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
8
Sturm Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Sturm Monahan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
4
2
Sturm Monahan
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Sturm
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,719)
51.1% (11,356)
+6.0%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
53.7% (2,580)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (498)
46.0% (766)
+5.0%
On power play, Sturm has a +7.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Sturm shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Sturm
Monahan
Home
57.1% (1,614)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
55.4% (1,665)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Sturm
Monahan
P1
56.5%
50.9%
P2
54.9%
51.7%
P3
57.4%
51.0%
OT
60.6%
53.5%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%
57.5%
56.3%
Monahan
54.0%
52.5%
51.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 18, 2025 3 18:08 Neutral Nico Sturm
Dec 18, 2025 1 15:20 Neutral Sean Monahan
Nov 5, 2024 2 07:51 Neutral Nico Sturm
Feb 14, 2024 2 17:21 Offensive Sean Monahan
Feb 14, 2024 2 17:10 Offensive Sean Monahan
Feb 14, 2024 1 12:41 Offensive Sean Monahan
Feb 14, 2024 1 12:37 Offensive Sean Monahan
Feb 14, 2024 1 12:16 Offensive Sean Monahan
Feb 14, 2024 1 12:11 Offensive Sean Monahan
Nov 24, 2023 OT 03:23 Defensive Sean Monahan
Nov 24, 2023 2 07:03 Offensive Sean Monahan
Mar 29, 2022 2 02:54 Defensive Nico Sturm
Feb 26, 2022 3 19:18 Neutral Nico Sturm
Feb 26, 2022 3 07:26 Defensive Nico Sturm
Feb 26, 2022 2 11:52 Defensive Sean Monahan
Feb 26, 2022 2 07:51 Defensive Nico Sturm
Dec 23, 2019 3 13:59 Neutral Nico Sturm
Dec 23, 2019 2 02:18 Defensive Sean Monahan
Dec 23, 2019 1 12:41 Defensive Nico Sturm
Dec 23, 2019 1 07:31 Neutral Sean Monahan