Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sean Monahan
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% vs Monahan 49.1% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 66.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 52.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 59.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Last 8: Nugent-Hopkins 5-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (137)
46.4% (532)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (23)
50.0% (30)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Monahan is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Home
53.9% (89)
49.0% (355)
Away
35.2% (71)
49.0% (339)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
P1
50.9%
49.8%
P2
36.7%
46.6%
P3
48.2%
50.9%
Final 5 min
44.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 16:15 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:42 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |