Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.1% vs Monahan 51.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 53.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 88.4%
Neutral zone
Poehling 69.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Poehling
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
15
(22 meetings)
7
15
Poehling
Monahan
Last 10: Poehling 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
13
Poehling
Monahan
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
6
1
Poehling
Monahan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Poehling
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (2,726)
51.1% (11,356)
-1.7%
Power Play
51.6% (93)
53.7% (2,580)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (623)
46.0% (766)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Poehling is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,301).
Poehling shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Poehling
Monahan
Home
49.3% (1,688)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
46.9% (1,754)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Poehling
Monahan
P1
50.9%
50.9%
P2
47.0%
51.7%
P3
46.9%
51.0%
OT
37.9%
53.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 17, 2022 | OT | 01:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |