Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 46.9% vs Monahan 50.4% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 68.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 83.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 62.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Kuraly
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Kuraly
Monahan
Last 8: Kuraly 2-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Kuraly
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Kuraly
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (661)
51.0% (1,063)
-5.0%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
49.4% (314)
+28.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (51)
40.0% (30)
+7.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kuraly is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (524).
Kuraly shoots left. Monahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Monahan
Home
47.2% (335)
53.8% (705)
Away
45.9% (386)
47.0% (702)
By Period
Kuraly
Monahan
P1
47.1%
47.3%
P2
44.6%
53.9%
P3
48.1%
49.6%
Final 5 min
44.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
46.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |