Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Monahan wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 53.9% vs Zegras 42.6% (+13.7%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 52.3%
Defensive zone
Zegras 54.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 59.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Monahan
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (231)
41.1% (559)
+13.4%
Power Play
58.2% (67)
50.0% (12)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
50.0% (2)
+2.2%
On even strength, Monahan has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Monahan shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Monahan
Zegras
Home
53.5% (144)
45.7% (247)
Away
56.5% (177)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Monahan
Zegras
P1
52.5%
45.5%
P2
50.9%
36.8%
P3
60.8%
41.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
55.1%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
41.4%