Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Monahan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 54.5% vs Zegras 43.3% (+16.5%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 52.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 66.5%
Neutral zone
Zegras 51.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Monahan
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (871)
39.8% (128)
+17.3%
Power Play
53.1% (262)
22.2% (9)
+30.9%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (139)
0.0% (1)
+44.6%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Monahan shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Monahan
Zegras
Home
55.3% (644)
29.7% (74)
Away
54.5% (628)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Monahan
Zegras
P1
53.9%
40.7%
P2
55.3%
35.1%
P3
54.4%
41.0%
OT
76.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.4%