Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.4% vs Zegras 41.3% (+16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 66.4%
Defensive zone
Zegras 64.6%
Neutral zone
Zegras 74.3%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Monahan
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Monahan
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
2
Monahan
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Monahan
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (853)
36.5% (156)
+15.9%
Power Play
58.6% (174)
40.7% (27)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (144)
0.0% (3)
+46.5%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Monahan shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Monahan
Zegras
Home
53.4% (624)
38.9% (113)
Away
51.7% (547)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Monahan
Zegras
P1
53.7%
40.0%
P2
52.4%
38.1%
P3
51.6%
31.6%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |