Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 51.4% vs Karlsson 45.8% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 60.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 86.9%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 64.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Monahan
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Monahan
Karlsson
Last 8: Monahan 2-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
1
Monahan
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
4
Monahan
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Monahan
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (1,117)
47.2% (786)
+3.0%
Power Play
55.5% (283)
54.5% (11)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
56.8% (44)
35.6% (163)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Monahan is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Monahan shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Monahan
Karlsson
Home
50.1% (731)
46.4% (478)
Away
52.9% (713)
44.2% (482)
By Period
Monahan
Karlsson
P1
51.3%
44.8%
P2
50.3%
45.6%
P3
53.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
53.0%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |