Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Monahan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 54.5% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 58.7%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 52.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Monahan
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Monahan
Karlsson
Last 10: Monahan 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Monahan
Karlsson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
2
Monahan
Karlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Monahan
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (871)
56.3% (739)
+0.8%
Power Play
53.1% (262)
58.6% (181)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (139)
47.2% (53)
-2.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Monahan shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Monahan
Karlsson
Home
55.3% (644)
56.5% (462)
Away
54.5% (628)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Monahan
Karlsson
P1
53.9%
57.1%
P2
55.3%
55.2%
P3
54.4%
56.7%
OT
76.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 11:01 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 30, 2023 | OT | 04:34 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 30, 2023 | OT | 02:08 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | William Karlsson |