Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 55.3%). Monahan wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 53.9% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 56.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 77.4%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 56.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Monahan
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Monahan
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Monahan
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
0
Monahan
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (231)
55.3% (897)
-0.8%
Power Play
58.2% (67)
61.1% (113)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
50.8% (132)
+1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Monahan shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Monahan
Karlsson
Home
53.5% (144)
58.6% (560)
Away
56.5% (177)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Monahan
Karlsson
P1
52.5%
55.8%
P2
50.9%
55.6%
P3
60.8%
55.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |