Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Monahan wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.8% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Monahan 56.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 54.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 59.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Monahan
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (823)
58.5% (135)
-5.3%
Power Play
55.3% (159)
80.0% (5)
-24.7%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (95)
44.4% (18)
+4.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Monahan shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Monahan
Karlsson
Home
54.6% (529)
63.7% (91)
Away
51.6% (548)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Monahan
Karlsson
P1
49.0%
54.4%
P2
55.4%
66.7%
P3
53.6%
51.9%
OT
61.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%