Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 49.5% vs Aho 52.4% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Point leads 27-19 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 53.4%
Defensive zone
Aho 71.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 58.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Point
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
19
(46 meetings)
27
19
Point
Aho
Last 10: Point 8-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Point
Aho
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
9
7
Point
Aho
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
12
6
Point
Aho
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (411)
52.4% (622)
-4.2%
Power Play
54.5% (101)
60.7% (28)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
52.4% (42)
-2.4%
On power play, Aho has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Point is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Point shoots right. Aho is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Point
Aho
Home
51.1% (268)
54.9% (359)
Away
47.6% (252)
50.5% (333)
By Period
Point
Aho
P1
46.4%
51.6%
P2
56.5%
53.3%
P3
45.3%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
49.4%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 04:17 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |