Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Aho 54.9% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 80.4%
Defensive zone
Aho 68.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 69.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Point
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Point
Aho
Last 8: Point 5-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Point
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
54.5% (870)
-6.7%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
62.4% (266)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
37.1% (62)
+34.3%
On penalty kill, Point has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Point is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Point shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Point
Aho
Home
49.7% (471)
53.9% (603)
Away
47.2% (415)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Point
Aho
P1
46.6%
54.1%
P2
51.7%
55.0%
P3
46.5%
57.4%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.0%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | Brayden Point |