Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Aho 52.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 82.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 52.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 50.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Coyle
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Coyle
Aho
Last 5: Coyle 4-1 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
51.6% (819)
-1.0%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
58.4% (173)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
46.3% (67)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Coyle shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Coyle
Aho
Home
51.8% (517)
53.9% (568)
Away
46.7% (583)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Coyle
Aho
P1
49.2%
55.4%
P2
52.8%
51.2%
P3
44.8%
50.9%
OT
54.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |