Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Strome wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.1% vs Aho 50.1% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 84.4%
Defensive zone
Strome 64.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 71.9%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Strome
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Strome
Aho
Last 9: Strome 6-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
5
1
Strome
Aho
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Strome
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (848)
49.9% (833)
+6.5%
Power Play
66.4% (295)
54.2% (142)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
43.3% (60)
-1.6%
On power play, Strome has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Strome is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Strome shoots left. Aho is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Strome
Aho
Home
55.8% (616)
53.2% (554)
Away
62.2% (539)
46.6% (481)
By Period
Strome
Aho
P1
61.8%
49.7%
P2
54.6%
50.7%
P3
60.5%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
57.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
48.0%▼
56.5%
58.8%
Aho
36.0%▼
47.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |