Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 61.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.4% vs Aho 50.1% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 86.6%
Defensive zone
Miller 93.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 91.2%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 90.2%
90.2%
9.8%
Miller
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Miller
Aho
Last 10: Miller 9-1 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
1
Miller
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
5
0
Miller
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (526)
49.9% (833)
+11.5%
Power Play
65.3% (118)
54.2% (142)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (62)
43.3% (60)
+3.5%
On even strength, Miller has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Miller is 61.4% vs left-shot opponents (438).
Miller shoots left. Aho is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Miller
Aho
Home
61.8% (351)
53.2% (554)
Away
59.7% (355)
46.6% (481)
By Period
Miller
Aho
P1
58.5%
49.7%
P2
64.0%
50.7%
P3
59.6%
49.5%
OT
57.1%
58.8%
Final 5 min
63.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
56.0%▼
62.5%
60.8%
Aho
36.0%▼
47.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |