Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 51.6% vs Aho 48.7% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 57.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 84.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 63.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Dowd
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Dowd
Aho
Last 7: Dowd 5-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
2
Dowd
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (381)
47.4% (953)
+3.8%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
58.0% (174)
+42.0%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (89)
41.6% (77)
+12.3%
On power play, Dowd has a +42.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Dowd is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Dowd shoots right. Aho is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Dowd
Aho
Home
54.6% (218)
50.2% (609)
Away
49.6% (254)
46.9% (595)
By Period
Dowd
Aho
P1
50.6%
48.7%
P2
55.1%
50.2%
P3
50.0%
47.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 18:00 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |