Sebastian Aho vs William Karlsson
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 51.7%). Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 52.2% vs Karlsson 51.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 67.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 66.7%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 51.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Aho
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Aho
Karlsson
Last 9: Aho 5-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Aho
Karlsson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
1
Aho
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (819)
51.4% (735)
+0.2%
Power Play
58.4% (173)
63.5% (115)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (67)
42.9% (133)
+3.4%
On power play, Karlsson has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Aho shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Aho
Karlsson
Home
53.9% (568)
52.3% (524)
Away
50.7% (491)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Aho
Karlsson
P1
55.4%
50.7%
P2
51.2%
51.4%
P3
50.9%
53.2%
OT
28.6%
41.2%
Final 5 min
45.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |