Sebastian Aho vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Aho wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 54.9% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 56.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 64.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 52.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Aho
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Aho
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Aho
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (870)
58.6% (597)
-4.1%
Power Play
62.4% (266)
57.9% (57)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (62)
51.9% (52)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Aho shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Aho
Karlsson
Home
53.9% (603)
59.6% (344)
Away
56.8% (595)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Aho
Karlsson
P1
54.1%
53.1%
P2
55.0%
62.1%
P3
57.4%
60.1%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.4%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 09:22 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |