Sebastian Aho vs William Karlsson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Aho wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 53.8% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 61.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 57.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 51.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Aho
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Aho
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Aho
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Aho
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
0
Aho
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (785)
56.3% (739)
-5.1%
Power Play
63.8% (213)
58.6% (181)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (57)
47.2% (53)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Aho shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Aho
Karlsson
Home
54.9% (548)
56.5% (462)
Away
53.3% (507)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Aho
Karlsson
P1
52.8%
57.1%
P2
58.9%
55.2%
P3
50.6%
56.7%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |