Sebastian Aho vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 51.2% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 53.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 81.7%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 62.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Aho
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Aho
Karlsson
Last 5: Aho 3-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Aho
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Aho
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
2
0
Aho
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (778)
55.3% (897)
-6.8%
Power Play
63.4% (191)
61.1% (113)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (65)
50.8% (132)
+0.0%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Aho shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Aho
Karlsson
Home
51.3% (530)
58.6% (560)
Away
51.4% (504)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Aho
Karlsson
P1
50.0%
55.8%
P2
51.3%
55.6%
P3
52.1%
55.7%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:53 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |