Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Wright wins 31.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wright 45.8% vs Zegras 42.6% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 66.1%
Defensive zone
Zegras 60.5%
Neutral zone
Zegras 61.8%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Wright
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Wright
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Wright
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wright
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
32.3% (31)
41.1% (559)
-8.8%
On even strength, Zegras has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Wright is 31.8% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Wright shoots right. Zegras is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Wright
Zegras
Home
38.5% (13)
45.7% (247)
Away
27.8% (18)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Wright
Zegras
P1
40.0%
45.5%
P2
37.5%
36.8%
P3
0.0%
41.1%
Final 5 min
0.0%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
32.3%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |