Scouting Report
Shane Wright holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Wright wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wright 45.1% vs Zegras 41.3% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 64.0%
Defensive zone
Wright 74.4%
Neutral zone
Wright 61.3%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Wright
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Wright
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
0
Wright
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wright
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (758)
36.5% (156)
+7.4%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
40.7% (27)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
0.0% (3)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Wright has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Wright is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Wright shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Wright
Zegras
Home
46.3% (406)
38.9% (113)
Away
42.7% (424)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Wright
Zegras
P1
46.8%
40.0%
P2
42.6%
38.1%
P3
44.4%
31.6%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Shane Wright |