Scouting Report
Shane Wright holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wright wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wright 43.3% vs Zegras 39.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 56.5%
Defensive zone
Wright 81.6%
Neutral zone
Wright 64.6%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Wright
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Wright
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
2
1
Wright
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wright
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (1,318)
38.6% (1,669)
+4.0%
Power Play
45.8% (131)
38.5% (148)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
28.6% (7)
+4.7%
On power play, Wright has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Wright shoots right. Zegras is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Wright
Zegras
Home
44.2% (746)
39.9% (882)
Away
41.5% (709)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Wright
Zegras
P1
44.4%
40.2%
P2
40.7%
38.0%
P3
44.0%
37.7%
OT
20.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
41.6%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |