Scouting Report
Shane Wright holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Wright wins 38.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wright 41.4% vs Zegras 35.4% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 56.1%
Defensive zone
Wright 72.3%
Neutral zone
Wright 71.6%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Wright
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Wright
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
0
Wright
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wright
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (453)
29.6% (230)
+9.9%
Power Play
42.4% (59)
32.1% (56)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
100.0% (1)
-100.0%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Wright shoots right. Zegras is 29.7% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Wright
Zegras
Home
39.5% (286)
30.6% (147)
Away
40.1% (227)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Wright
Zegras
P1
39.9%
33.0%
P2
37.1%
31.7%
P3
42.9%
25.6%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.3%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Shane Wright |