Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Crosby 56.6% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 58.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 79.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Lowry
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Lowry
Crosby
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
7
Lowry
Crosby
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
3
Lowry
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
4
Lowry
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
56.2% (1,451)
-2.5%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
61.4% (293)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
55.3% (38)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Lowry
Crosby
Home
53.0% (583)
59.1% (939)
Away
50.6% (605)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Lowry
Crosby
P1
52.1%
54.9%
P2
51.8%
60.8%
P3
52.3%
55.4%
OT
25.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
53.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2024 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:17 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:46 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |