Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.9% vs Crosby 55.1% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 73.4%
Defensive zone
Crosby 56.9%
Neutral zone
Crosby 53.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Matthews
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Matthews
Crosby
Last 9: Matthews 6-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (892)
54.7% (1,423)
-2.3%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
62.1% (327)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
40.8% (76)
-3.3%
On power play, Crosby has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Matthews is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Matthews shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,229).
Home / Away
Matthews
Crosby
Home
54.3% (420)
56.2% (907)
Away
50.3% (491)
54.6% (919)
By Period
Matthews
Crosby
P1
54.2%
55.7%
P2
54.3%
55.0%
P3
47.8%
54.9%
OT
55.6%
70.4%
Final 5 min
55.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |