Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Crosby 52.9% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 56.9%
Defensive zone
Crosby 51.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 52.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Ryan
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Ryan
Crosby
Last 10: Ryan 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
6
Ryan
Crosby
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
5
Ryan
Crosby
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Ryan
Crosby
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
52.5% (1,479)
+4.0%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
55.7% (397)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
47.5% (59)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Ryan shoots right. Crosby is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Ryan
Crosby
Home
56.7% (466)
54.9% (993)
Away
56.3% (474)
51.1% (942)
By Period
Ryan
Crosby
P1
55.4%
52.2%
P2
58.1%
53.2%
P3
55.8%
53.4%
OT
66.7%
59.1%
Final 5 min
55.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2018 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 12:41 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 06:50 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |