Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Carrick wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 53.7% vs Crosby 55.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 81.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 85.4%
Neutral zone
Carrick 56.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Carrick
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Carrick
Crosby
Last 6: Carrick 2-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Carrick
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carrick
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (428)
53.5% (961)
+1.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
64.1% (237)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (50)
64.3% (14)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Carrick is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Carrick shoots right. Crosby is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Carrick
Crosby
Home
58.2% (225)
56.4% (622)
Away
51.2% (256)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Carrick
Crosby
P1
55.2%
56.0%
P2
52.8%
52.6%
P3
55.4%
58.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |