Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 52.4% vs Stamkos 49.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 60.3%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 63.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 61.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Crosby
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Crosby
Stamkos
Last 9: Crosby 3-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
4
Crosby
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Crosby
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (1,345)
49.0% (433)
+1.9%
Power Play
59.5% (439)
54.3% (70)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (103)
38.5% (26)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Crosby is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Crosby shoots left. Stamkos is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Crosby
Stamkos
Home
53.9% (941)
51.1% (327)
Away
51.2% (946)
46.0% (202)
By Period
Crosby
Stamkos
P1
49.3%
46.6%
P2
54.5%
51.5%
P3
53.9%
48.6%
OT
48.6%
61.5%
Final 5 min
49.7%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 04:07 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |