Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 55.7%). Crosby wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.5% vs Stamkos 54.6% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 57.5%
Defensive zone
Crosby 60.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 54.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Crosby
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Crosby
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (984)
56.1% (342)
-2.4%
Power Play
64.7% (241)
53.3% (92)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
62.5% (8)
+1.8%
On power play, Crosby has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Crosby is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Crosby shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Crosby
Stamkos
Home
56.9% (649)
53.4% (208)
Away
54.9% (590)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Crosby
Stamkos
P1
55.8%
55.6%
P2
53.2%
52.8%
P3
58.7%
59.1%
OT
54.2%
62.5%
Final 5 min
55.7%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |