Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Crosby wins 59.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 57.8% vs Stamkos 55.2% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 63.6%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 50.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 56.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Crosby
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Crosby
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Crosby
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (1,437)
55.9% (499)
+1.9%
Power Play
60.9% (381)
56.3% (126)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
58.3% (12)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Crosby is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (615).
Crosby shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Crosby
Stamkos
Home
59.2% (985)
55.3% (349)
Away
57.2% (887)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Crosby
Stamkos
P1
57.3%
57.0%
P2
59.5%
59.2%
P3
58.5%
51.5%
OT
40.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
59.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |