Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Crosby wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 56.6% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 74.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 68.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 68.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Crosby
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Crosby
Stamkos
Last 10: Crosby 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
6
Crosby
Stamkos
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
0
Crosby
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (1,451)
49.3% (670)
+6.9%
Power Play
61.4% (293)
53.7% (121)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
33.3% (3)
+22.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Crosby shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Crosby
Stamkos
Home
59.1% (939)
54.0% (400)
Away
54.7% (843)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Crosby
Stamkos
P1
54.9%
48.6%
P2
60.8%
54.5%
P3
55.4%
45.4%
OT
53.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |