Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 53.8%). Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 52.8% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 68.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 59.4%
Neutral zone
Crosby 51.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Crosby
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Crosby
Stamkos
Last 10: Crosby 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
1
Crosby
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
5
Crosby
Stamkos
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
1
Crosby
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,443)
55.3% (628)
-2.8%
Power Play
54.7% (369)
55.1% (216)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (34)
40.2% (87)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Crosby is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (647).
Crosby shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Crosby
Stamkos
Home
53.0% (931)
55.5% (499)
Away
53.0% (915)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Crosby
Stamkos
P1
50.3%
50.7%
P2
55.4%
53.8%
P3
53.3%
55.9%
OT
47.4%
87.5%
Final 5 min
53.5%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:11 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 08:15 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |