Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 49.7%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 49.9% vs Stamkos 49.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 69.4%
Defensive zone
Crosby 50.9%
Neutral zone
Crosby 62.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Crosby
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Crosby
Stamkos
Last 8: Crosby 6-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
2
Crosby
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
0
Crosby
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (1,194)
48.7% (831)
+0.7%
Power Play
52.6% (350)
53.5% (86)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (53)
69.2% (26)
-25.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Crosby is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (616).
Crosby shoots left. Stamkos is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Crosby
Stamkos
Home
51.3% (776)
52.5% (474)
Away
48.6% (821)
46.9% (469)
By Period
Crosby
Stamkos
P1
50.5%
46.3%
P2
51.3%
52.0%
P3
47.8%
51.2%
OT
50.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
49.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 13:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |