Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Crosby wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.1% vs Stamkos 53.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 72.7%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 59.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 55.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Crosby
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Crosby
Stamkos
Last 7: Crosby 5-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
1
Crosby
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Crosby
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (676)
54.1% (460)
+1.8%
Power Play
56.7% (171)
64.2% (106)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (41)
45.3% (106)
+1.0%
On power play, Stamkos has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Crosby is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Crosby shoots left. Stamkos is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Crosby
Stamkos
Home
57.7% (454)
58.2% (328)
Away
53.5% (434)
50.6% (344)
By Period
Crosby
Stamkos
P1
55.9%
57.5%
P2
53.0%
53.1%
P3
57.7%
52.7%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 23, 2019 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |