Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Crosby wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.5% vs Hertl 57.2% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 54.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 50.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Crosby
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (984)
58.1% (823)
-4.4%
Power Play
64.7% (241)
56.2% (265)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
62.9% (35)
+1.4%
On power play, Crosby has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Crosby shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Crosby
Hertl
Home
56.9% (649)
59.7% (561)
Away
54.9% (590)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Crosby
Hertl
P1
55.8%
51.6%
P2
53.2%
63.8%
P3
58.7%
58.6%
OT
54.2%
28.6%
Final 5 min
55.7%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%